Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82591 9417 200 320 349 165 41 0
OW 36 547 111 204 66 22 10 0
VODI 0 199 95 248 331 95 11 0
ODI 0 87 45 115 251 221 16 0
CDI 0 67 36 133 168 248 1 0
VCDI 0 65 48 257 456 2665 7870 1293
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81533 9996 218 421 293 189 24 0
OW 35 557 120 274 85 32 4 0
VODI 0 218 94 192 290 117 3 0
ODI 0 97 34 124 242 304 2 0
CDI 0 66 45 123 200 480 40 0
VCDI 0 76 39 250 391 2571 6731 2590
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81961 9765 286 469 291 255 10 0
OW 35 305 106 220 152 32 12 0
VODI 0 109 95 238 296 80 5 0
ODI 0 31 39 135 351 230 21 0
CDI 0 22 32 158 366 843 86 0
VCDI 0 66 37 110 401 3680 6229 1541
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82548 9287 180 269 310 226 38 0
OW 59 577 121 157 28 15 11 0
VODI 0 183 121 336 181 40 14 0
ODI 0 36 47 206 385 153 5 0
CDI 0 12 26 161 378 516 32 0
VCDI 0 36 22 107 221 1900 7407 2749
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82545 9351 207 284 312 231 38 0
OW 62 490 99 171 32 11 14 0
VODI 0 208 113 307 185 50 12 0
ODI 0 35 49 201 400 156 4 0
CDI 0 12 27 166 353 551 26 0
VCDI 0 35 22 107 221 1851 7413 2749

Date: 2023-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81708 9552 231 321 345 425 13 0
OW 70 572 128 211 69 36 7 0
VODI 0 220 134 330 167 92 12 0
ODI 0 58 53 155 267 243 14 0
CDI 0 21 29 84 151 547 110 0
VCDI 0 30 12 42 147 1391 8329 2774
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81676 9571 257 375 377 440 14 0
OW 102 518 100 165 50 35 11 0
VODI 0 247 127 305 177 94 8 0
ODI 0 64 60 163 245 274 16 0
CDI 0 23 31 91 171 564 127 0
VCDI 0 30 12 44 126 1327 8309 2774

Date: 2023-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80857 10061 278 390 346 365 18 0
OW 150 372 115 234 115 22 2 0
VODI 0 176 79 278 373 52 18 0
ODI 0 53 23 124 349 316 20 0
CDI 0 53 22 76 202 524 139 0
VCDI 0 10 8 39 181 1995 8456 2209
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80888 9978 253 357 341 365 17 0
OW 109 439 126 247 130 25 3 0
VODI 10 177 94 287 347 54 16 0
ODI 0 63 16 126 327 373 17 0
CDI 0 58 26 83 235 420 176 0
VCDI 0 10 10 41 186 2037 8424 2209

Date: 2023-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79558 10961 308 507 351 264 70 0
OW 108 525 79 175 127 58 4 0
VODI 2 198 100 163 341 157 13 0
ODI 0 77 27 123 309 301 32 0
CDI 0 64 43 84 156 481 160 0
VCDI 0 30 22 72 197 1574 7753 3526
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79574 10944 279 434 325 246 67 0
OW 82 448 106 217 102 70 6 0
VODI 12 253 84 198 331 168 12 0
ODI 0 86 45 128 278 214 26 0
CDI 0 91 24 50 269 528 114 0
VCDI 0 33 41 97 176 1609 7807 3526

Date: 2023-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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