Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1264 2209 181 423 76 5 0 0
OW 1 226 157 616 442 125 2 0
VODI 0 6 20 167 714 719 57 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 347 1252 327 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 252 3081 790 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 201 2206 8396 7820
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 825 2202 91 327 149 12 0 0
OW 0 138 63 333 572 205 6 0
VODI 0 1 12 44 673 880 77 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 162 1050 307 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 77 1788 1133 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 2207 8712 10035
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1154 1907 53 77 32 0 0 0
OW 0 55 24 97 96 9 0 0
VODI 0 12 33 203 398 112 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 53 590 380 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 557 2219 490 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 130 2435 10175 10769
...date precedes bulletin

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1188 2015 11 4 0 0 0 0
OW 4 191 41 36 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 35 126 143 74 1 0
ODI 0 12 18 48 223 452 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 394 944 404 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 280 3291 10371 11662
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1180 1868 3 1 0 0 0 0
OW 11 303 30 26 2 0 0 0
VODI 1 105 53 124 117 32 0 0
ODI 0 17 17 55 180 374 12 0
CDI 0 0 2 23 377 724 203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 375 3631 10574 11662

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1426 1624 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 22 255 17 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 152 30 108 51 8 0 0
ODI 0 60 30 105 129 111 12 0
CDI 0 8 13 94 332 547 224 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 454 3983 10092 12167
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1425 1657 1 1 0 0 0 0
OW 21 212 14 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 2 161 23 109 49 4 0 0
ODI 0 56 41 108 138 97 10 0
CDI 0 13 13 92 204 434 188 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 575 4114 10130 12167

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 454 2553 34 56 10 0 0 0
OW 0 113 46 31 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 39 136 52 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 55 175 87 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 128 867 84 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 3406 12089 11550
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 454 2314 31 42 9 0 0 0
OW 0 254 35 66 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 30 55 65 64 2 0
ODI 0 17 22 83 69 109 12 1
CDI 0 2 8 49 172 373 133 38
VCDI 0 0 0 5 74 3814 12028 11540

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 548 2247 21 41 45 0 0 0
OW 0 220 34 53 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 121 14 74 32 4 0 0
ODI 0 51 29 30 89 60 1 0
CDI 0 26 14 62 82 281 114 0
VCDI 0 3 3 32 104 3187 14496 9955
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 548 2046 28 47 36 0 0 0
OW 0 288 23 76 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 131 13 51 82 93 10 0
ODI 0 105 21 8 31 109 48 0
CDI 0 67 18 49 51 224 143 0
VCDI 0 31 12 61 125 3106 14410 9955

Date: dates bull:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 363 2047 40 72 38 6 0 0
OW 0 226 37 73 54 7 0 0
VODI 0 141 41 58 89 23 0 0
ODI 0 20 22 75 64 78 3 0
CDI 0 11 6 30 107 328 114 0
VCDI 0 7 6 36 103 1559 16080 10118
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 363 1914 46 94 60 3 0 0
OW 0 212 9 18 37 17 0 0
VODI 0 237 51 80 102 69 0 0
ODI 0 55 17 47 44 163 33 0
CDI 0 15 20 63 93 362 182 0
VCDI 0 19 9 42 119 1387 15982 10118


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