Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12985 9981 687 701 75 0 0 0
OW 4 781 369 890 58 1 0 0
VODI 0 290 315 2503 379 5 0 0
ODI 0 12 8 1066 2895 165 15 0
CDI 0 1 1 12 2980 2997 231 5
VCDI 0 4 0 0 12 2585 2853 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13225 10039 644 684 27 0 0 0
OW 5 1000 412 783 63 0 0 0
VODI 0 328 333 2111 636 31 0 0
ODI 0 9 18 943 2511 493 36 0
CDI 0 2 0 53 1737 3463 973 0
VCDI 0 4 1 3 9 1190 3497 603
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13413 11503 898 752 43 0 0 0
OW 1 358 312 627 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 266 2302 367 4 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 342 3047 546 1 0
CDI 0 3 1 12 1350 4097 614 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 3 1385 3063 405
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13670 12001 689 640 39 0 0 0
OW 0 533 394 686 15 1 0 0
VODI 0 108 274 1830 238 12 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 699 2654 393 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 1403 4317 774 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 0 1923 2547 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13670 12049 711 681 45 0 0 0
OW 0 452 331 581 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 141 312 1830 232 7 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 759 2620 425 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 1441 4250 768 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 0 1964 2553 0

Date: 2023-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13885 11891 708 664 39 0 0 0
OW 2 694 492 586 9 1 0 0
VODI 0 106 260 1609 195 18 0 0
ODI 0 4 8 698 2452 429 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 15 1916 4171 303 0
VCDI 0 2 0 0 40 3283 1384 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13885 11966 747 735 41 0 0 0
OW 2 547 361 421 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 179 345 1625 199 10 0 0
ODI 0 3 15 774 2432 478 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 1908 4029 323 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 64 3385 1364 0

Date: 2023-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11857 6304 9359 416 28 1 0 0
OW 0 131 989 303 3 1 0 0
VODI 0 8 1326 893 96 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 1271 1376 1111 94 0 0
CDI 0 6 547 2547 1903 765 11 0
VCDI 0 1 0 184 712 1792 1829 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11857 6240 9084 446 30 2 0 0
OW 0 147 913 245 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 1395 685 124 22 0 0
ODI 0 1 1293 1225 906 167 0 0
CDI 0 3 792 2089 1459 1108 680 0
VCDI 0 4 15 1029 1329 1355 1160 0

Date: 2023-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15793 11704 585 322 9 0 0 0
OW 0 690 400 311 3 1 0 0
VODI 0 106 319 1451 157 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 9 898 2539 184 5 0
CDI 0 6 0 10 1445 4108 181 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 20 2322 2283 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15793 11168 525 311 11 1 0 0
OW 0 744 250 236 6 1 0 0
VODI 0 555 449 1142 191 40 9 0
ODI 0 34 89 1170 1714 306 32 0
CDI 0 4 0 133 2097 2975 595 0
VCDI 0 3 0 0 154 3295 1833 0

Date: 2023-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6760 3585 18092 103 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1518 52 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1803 126 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1818 826 706 30 0 0
CDI 0 0 2728 1206 1357 75 0 0
VCDI 0 0 3915 1072 73 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6760 3585 17446 56 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1226 40 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2353 84 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2113 598 321 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 3171 1123 1155 94 0 0
VCDI 0 0 3565 1484 681 5 0 0


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