Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-07-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84711 10025 479 642 162 0 0 0
OW 0 132 148 733 255 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 70 860 782 32 0 0
ODI 0 4 16 205 404 329 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 74 663 3804 173 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 392 3839 109 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84235 10686 513 747 150 7 0 0
OW 0 161 164 897 182 8 0 0
VODI 0 46 62 735 493 34 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 191 343 341 0 0
CDI 0 3 8 67 550 4040 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 60 4093 212 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87099 8079 449 728 244 4 0 0
OW 0 133 102 511 129 3 0 0
VODI 0 27 104 900 540 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 217 445 239 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 420 4821 313 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 3091 432 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87087 8519 437 638 146 1 0 0
OW 0 222 178 616 95 2 0 0
VODI 0 38 86 576 461 47 0 0
ODI 0 3 8 173 302 238 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 419 5082 334 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 2636 687 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87087 8531 477 812 147 1 0 0
OW 0 204 142 434 113 2 0 0
VODI 0 46 80 570 446 50 0 0
ODI 0 1 10 187 297 226 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 418 5111 327 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 2616 692 0

Date: 2023-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86939 8539 594 987 76 0 0 0
OW 0 209 186 537 116 2 0 0
VODI 0 33 92 496 433 21 0 0
ODI 0 12 9 182 331 172 1 0
CDI 0 1 6 94 452 5431 74 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2208 867 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86939 8567 624 1115 98 0 0 0
OW 0 181 151 400 137 2 0 0
VODI 0 34 95 490 389 18 0 0
ODI 0 11 11 195 329 200 2 0
CDI 0 1 6 96 455 5376 61 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2238 879 0

Date: 2023-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86859 8752 640 984 44 0 0 0
OW 0 123 160 396 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 95 708 369 7 1 0
ODI 0 11 29 242 591 213 7 0
CDI 0 0 5 34 328 6927 150 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1244 75 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86859 8779 704 1203 107 0 0 0
OW 0 86 107 365 157 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 79 492 316 22 1 0
ODI 0 16 12 199 307 271 20 0
CDI 0 10 27 105 501 5649 136 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2449 76 0

Date: 2023-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86191 9790 678 936 68 0 0 0
OW 0 61 100 328 116 13 0 0
VODI 0 42 52 471 465 62 1 0
ODI 0 18 22 163 394 358 16 0
CDI 0 7 12 34 251 6681 110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1585 73 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86191 9784 684 1060 140 11 0 0
OW 0 58 81 294 230 15 0 0
VODI 0 41 50 346 285 93 1 0
ODI 0 12 23 139 263 327 40 0
CDI 0 23 26 93 371 6088 67 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 2165 92 0

Date: 2023-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87704 8565 663 771 52 2 0 0
OW 0 89 112 362 102 16 0 0
VODI 0 37 49 526 371 37 0 0
ODI 0 8 24 142 484 288 0 0
CDI 0 8 14 26 302 4596 1518 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 922 1308 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87704 8564 682 902 117 17 0 0
OW 0 67 86 346 172 15 0 0
VODI 0 41 40 319 241 31 0 0
ODI 0 22 27 173 294 337 4 0
CDI 0 13 27 87 487 4410 1353 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1051 1469 0


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