Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-07-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1496 4378 306 326 99 16 1 0
OW 0 583 269 555 176 10 1 0
VODI 0 195 212 1023 922 99 6 0
ODI 0 32 41 614 5197 1554 8 0
CDI 0 22 25 136 2922 7134 221 0
VCDI 0 1 0 10 600 1976 916 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1585 4698 302 305 66 6 0 0
OW 0 688 319 592 199 9 0 0
VODI 0 267 236 1093 1224 105 0 0
ODI 0 32 38 744 5364 1617 6 0
CDI 0 31 18 130 2746 5977 743 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 248 1835 852 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1567 5775 411 312 37 5 0 0
OW 0 414 337 690 63 7 0 0
VODI 0 82 129 1763 1234 18 0 0
ODI 0 21 20 608 6135 910 1 0
CDI 0 11 14 53 2173 8264 107 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 6 742 172 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1611 6459 447 274 31 4 0 0
OW 0 510 373 825 100 5 0 0
VODI 0 76 144 1660 1592 47 0 0
ODI 0 22 34 466 5596 1010 6 0
CDI 0 8 19 52 2498 7432 86 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 560 135 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1611 6531 459 362 44 4 0 0
OW 0 441 346 768 118 7 0 0
VODI 0 77 163 1644 1619 47 0 0
ODI 0 17 26 447 5467 1031 4 0
CDI 0 9 23 56 2567 7347 91 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 622 132 0

Date: 2023-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2094 6560 444 299 36 3 0 0
OW 0 432 381 1038 264 9 0 0
VODI 0 86 97 1249 2223 159 0 0
ODI 0 30 27 276 4445 1680 13 0
CDI 0 7 15 44 2097 7295 235 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 463 81 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2094 6656 504 423 67 3 0 0
OW 0 330 312 861 289 10 0 0
VODI 0 90 108 1306 2166 203 0 0
ODI 0 28 26 265 4437 1676 11 0
CDI 0 11 14 51 2104 7166 235 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 551 83 0

Date: 2023-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2701 6338 477 325 46 3 0 0
OW 0 349 264 509 80 4 0 0
VODI 0 103 193 1364 714 31 3 0
ODI 0 9 9 735 6862 1073 15 0
CDI 0 1 4 29 1055 8215 353 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 92 126 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2701 6346 546 599 130 13 0 0
OW 0 330 251 864 493 36 1 0
VODI 0 93 126 1194 2395 414 22 0
ODI 0 24 14 261 3994 1578 58 0
CDI 0 7 10 41 1740 6850 350 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 5 527 66 0

Date: 2023-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2781 6771 395 308 20 3 0 0
OW 0 297 263 734 83 6 0 0
VODI 0 114 196 1493 1064 64 11 0
ODI 0 14 20 575 5991 1776 53 0
CDI 0 2 2 27 541 6877 1517 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 44 40 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2781 6739 491 767 119 7 0 0
OW 0 283 212 967 578 51 9 0
VODI 0 137 144 1080 2652 462 45 0
ODI 0 32 16 275 3451 1769 133 0
CDI 0 7 13 46 896 6265 1354 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 3 216 80 0

Date: 2023-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2035 7732 327 240 8 4 0 0
OW 0 362 370 776 81 9 0 0
VODI 0 121 187 1627 1643 55 1 0
ODI 0 9 15 406 5617 2192 49 0
CDI 0 1 2 16 334 5977 1864 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 10 12 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2033 7724 544 875 158 17 0 0
OW 2 298 198 948 702 49 0 0
VODI 0 147 133 993 3070 545 29 0
ODI 0 39 11 211 3131 2124 193 0
CDI 0 17 15 37 621 5406 1682 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1 106 22 0


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