Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2644 331 786 278 7 0 0
OW 0 231 129 385 256 24 0 0
VODI 0 113 94 471 577 136 13 0
ODI 0 84 35 201 788 392 44 0
CDI 0 67 31 147 1798 2409 809 0
VCDI 0 52 21 76 264 3537 24261 4375
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3139 308 709 300 19 0 0
OW 0 307 112 401 286 82 13 0
VODI 0 192 105 348 588 263 80 0
ODI 0 83 48 253 607 539 186 0
CDI 0 103 41 123 878 2622 826 0
VCDI 0 112 33 66 88 3104 24589 4313
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 4084 429 770 492 62 0 0
OW 0 281 147 420 414 75 2 0
VODI 0 148 114 491 761 301 19 0
ODI 0 199 57 307 937 862 97 0
CDI 0 49 26 95 360 1382 492 0
VCDI 0 1 4 26 84 5699 21867 4311
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17 4451 500 840 344 648 4 0
OW 0 241 93 343 392 360 11 0
VODI 0 103 45 245 552 853 63 0
ODI 0 78 43 105 406 1168 175 0
CDI 0 50 40 117 404 1254 678 0
VCDI 0 5 6 15 707 4490 20256 5764
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17 4476 499 870 415 658 6 0
OW 0 209 93 311 321 373 9 0
VODI 0 108 49 250 602 921 79 0
ODI 0 78 40 102 361 1091 165 0
CDI 0 53 39 116 394 1213 728 0
VCDI 0 4 7 16 712 4517 20200 5764

Date: 2023-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55 4750 489 867 1083 119 0 0
OW 0 305 127 337 758 127 5 0
VODI 0 143 63 359 1014 307 24 0
ODI 0 82 29 97 1003 324 41 0
CDI 0 73 52 132 631 1526 1080 0
VCDI 0 9 10 227 1081 3285 14660 10592
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55 4785 496 891 1174 144 1 0
OW 0 273 121 330 696 104 4 0
VODI 0 140 61 344 1067 375 25 0
ODI 0 81 31 101 936 280 40 0
CDI 0 74 52 128 599 1387 981 0
VCDI 0 9 9 225 1098 3398 14759 10592

Date: 2023-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84 5353 488 949 971 12 1 0
OW 0 353 129 370 461 27 6 0
VODI 0 167 125 620 1071 58 4 0
ODI 0 37 21 227 1598 270 23 0
CDI 0 18 16 76 766 3643 504 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 1012 4615 11560 10223
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84 5219 499 1076 1340 28 6 0
OW 0 306 102 433 767 83 2 0
VODI 0 197 84 375 1082 69 18 0
ODI 0 96 40 146 699 108 62 0
CDI 0 97 48 195 805 2021 513 0
VCDI 0 13 6 25 1186 6316 11497 10223

Date: 2023-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101 6000 591 1452 614 10 3 0
OW 0 412 138 651 472 24 9 0
VODI 0 181 92 555 1042 66 17 0
ODI 0 33 16 182 753 291 44 0
CDI 0 20 16 83 936 4073 763 0
VCDI 0 0 0 34 1421 5631 9168 9972
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101 5709 560 1644 938 20 16 0
OW 0 420 98 583 624 23 13 0
VODI 0 239 106 317 677 56 33 0
ODI 0 108 41 170 429 154 61 0
CDI 0 169 40 166 932 2864 719 0
VCDI 0 1 8 77 1638 6978 9162 9972

Date: 2023-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 162 6436 531 1749 543 28 6 0
OW 2 389 134 845 423 41 20 0
VODI 0 101 67 438 1032 84 53 0
ODI 0 52 18 139 348 238 86 0
CDI 0 28 30 118 930 3796 1464 0
VCDI 0 0 1 42 798 5628 9191 9875
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 162 6142 503 2198 876 43 30 0
OW 2 367 90 391 495 28 20 0
VODI 0 238 81 307 512 78 48 0
ODI 0 130 35 160 307 200 90 0
CDI 0 125 66 239 914 3010 1127 0
VCDI 0 4 6 36 970 6456 9505 9875


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