Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2019-08-01

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18880 8126 1430 887 188 28 10 0
OW 0 0 83 210 192 97 27 0
VODI 0 0 25 233 490 349 144 0
ODI 0 0 9 98 191 324 787 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 36 38 2593 2658
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 12 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19816 7824 1280 646 134 24 3 0
OW 0 2 94 231 124 70 11 0
VODI 0 0 54 328 450 298 110 0
ODI 0 0 12 72 184 343 420 0
CDI 0 0 6 11 13 194 2340 942
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 861 1254
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19735 7852 1409 555 199 27 3 0
OW 0 2 136 209 167 67 18 0
VODI 0 0 66 348 469 277 115 0
ODI 0 0 14 92 130 304 506 0
CDI 0 0 5 9 16 150 2327 1081
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 737 1126
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19735 7850 1439 588 247 43 5 0
OW 0 4 101 190 154 64 18 0
VODI 0 0 71 321 409 252 112 0
ODI 0 0 14 105 152 325 605 0
CDI 0 0 5 9 19 135 2070 1106
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 14 896 1101

Date: 2019-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19879 7628 1662 629 204 58 6 0
OW 0 4 92 294 178 114 43 0
VODI 0 0 61 224 311 273 192 0
ODI 0 0 16 82 138 310 752 0
CDI 0 0 6 5 20 92 2026 1467
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 506 886
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19879 7626 1658 610 195 55 6 0
OW 0 6 95 297 177 111 41 0
VODI 0 0 62 241 321 272 201 0
ODI 0 0 16 80 138 305 710 0
CDI 0 0 6 6 20 104 2111 1572
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 456 781

Date: 2019-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20205 7278 1881 551 227 57 12 0
OW 0 19 105 218 179 107 50 0
VODI 0 1 64 214 275 251 234 0
ODI 0 0 25 80 120 234 836 0
CDI 0 0 5 9 13 56 2207 1995
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 153 496
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20205 7264 1876 526 215 54 18 0
OW 0 31 106 226 179 109 49 0
VODI 0 3 73 235 285 262 233 0
ODI 0 0 21 77 120 215 824 0
CDI 0 0 4 8 15 65 2227 2094
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 141 397

Date: 2019-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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