Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2016-06-16
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-06-10:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16382 |
6914 |
1283 |
1548 |
691 |
215 |
122 |
13 |
| OW |
0 |
11 |
30 |
217 |
383 |
268 |
75 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
3 |
9 |
80 |
353 |
355 |
260 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
19 |
111 |
454 |
569 |
9 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
85 |
383 |
1441 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
137 |
2105 |
3597 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-06-14:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17541 |
6214 |
1461 |
1380 |
755 |
153 |
145 |
10 |
| OW |
0 |
27 |
46 |
220 |
403 |
156 |
86 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
132 |
317 |
360 |
154 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
3 |
29 |
114 |
429 |
474 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
31 |
47 |
475 |
1258 |
11 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
85 |
2216 |
3417 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-06-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17617 |
6525 |
1473 |
1150 |
754 |
314 |
140 |
10 |
| OW |
0 |
12 |
65 |
298 |
324 |
214 |
85 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
3 |
5 |
100 |
232 |
438 |
259 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
3 |
40 |
103 |
259 |
541 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
39 |
228 |
1339 |
11 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
36 |
1983 |
3516 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17617 |
6535 |
1507 |
1284 |
857 |
356 |
148 |
10 |
| OW |
0 |
2 |
26 |
167 |
233 |
187 |
95 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
5 |
10 |
103 |
241 |
415 |
296 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
3 |
32 |
79 |
273 |
504 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
45 |
222 |
1369 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
36 |
1935 |
3527 |
|
Date: 2016-06-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18956 |
6527 |
916 |
1446 |
565 |
153 |
111 |
9 |
| OW |
0 |
10 |
51 |
312 |
203 |
87 |
50 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
13 |
6 |
190 |
283 |
349 |
95 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
2 |
45 |
109 |
646 |
377 |
6 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
52 |
475 |
824 |
264 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
37 |
1938 |
3037 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18956 |
6526 |
932 |
1537 |
668 |
201 |
137 |
9 |
| OW |
0 |
11 |
37 |
259 |
174 |
189 |
68 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
14 |
3 |
137 |
222 |
491 |
183 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
46 |
65 |
269 |
315 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
83 |
536 |
1177 |
17 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
61 |
1515 |
3289 |
|
Date: 2016-06-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18084 |
6951 |
1835 |
1199 |
678 |
191 |
132 |
9 |
| OW |
0 |
2 |
72 |
226 |
257 |
148 |
40 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
4 |
15 |
96 |
255 |
393 |
124 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
98 |
357 |
382 |
5 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
46 |
352 |
984 |
56 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
9 |
1722 |
3409 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18084 |
6918 |
1819 |
1274 |
745 |
239 |
142 |
9 |
| OW |
0 |
33 |
59 |
167 |
231 |
214 |
56 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
6 |
44 |
77 |
190 |
360 |
219 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
100 |
256 |
319 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
65 |
296 |
1326 |
7 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
85 |
1322 |
3462 |
|
Date: 2016-06-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18067 |
7303 |
1280 |
1602 |
692 |
198 |
146 |
9 |
| OW |
0 |
58 |
38 |
200 |
251 |
218 |
58 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
5 |
23 |
93 |
201 |
380 |
217 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
20 |
70 |
262 |
427 |
4 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
29 |
272 |
1153 |
178 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
1269 |
3420 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18067 |
7320 |
1304 |
1646 |
770 |
226 |
174 |
9 |
| OW |
0 |
45 |
30 |
141 |
189 |
280 |
86 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
7 |
76 |
136 |
244 |
258 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
43 |
83 |
211 |
277 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
63 |
313 |
1486 |
40 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
4 |
56 |
989 |
3561 |
|
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