Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-04-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 145 0
FY ice 3 21644 463
MY ice 3 6055 7472
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 150 0
FY ice 11 21610 447
MY ice 15 5778 7547
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 112 2
FY ice 11 21552 505
MY ice 15 5450 7367
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 90 1
FY ice 0 21552 548
MY ice 3 5202 7629
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 84 1
FY ice 0 21451 566
MY ice 3 5309 7611

Date: 2019-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 25 0
FY ice 2 21544 603
MY ice 0 5137 7697
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 18 0
FY ice 2 21438 615
MY ice 0 5250 7685

Date: 2019-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21487 627
MY ice 0 4805 8115
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21358 639
MY ice 0 4934 8103

Date: 2019-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 2 0
FY ice 0 21451 619
MY ice 0 4621 8165
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21306 618
MY ice 0 4768 8166

Date: 2019-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 5 0
FY ice 39 21559 594
MY ice 0 4747 7993
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 5 0
FY ice 39 21285 633
MY ice 0 5021 7954


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