Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-03-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 7 21456 857
MY ice 1 4481 8508
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 1 0
FY ice 2 21547 778
MY ice 2 4636 8468
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21634 667
MY ice 0 5035 8167
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21586 675
MY ice 0 5232 8105
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21501 717
MY ice 0 5317 8063

Date: 2019-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21715 650
MY ice 1 5430 7895
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21613 686
MY ice 1 5532 7859

Date: 2019-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 11 0
FY ice 11 21817 538
MY ice 0 5657 7522
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 6 0
FY ice 11 21657 609
MY ice 0 5822 7451

Date: 2019-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 95 0
FY ice 5 21734 506
MY ice 0 5807 7776
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 80 0
FY ice 5 21663 573
MY ice 0 5893 7709

Date: 2019-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 145 0
FY ice 3 21644 463
MY ice 3 6055 7472
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 125 0
FY ice 2 21527 449
MY ice 5 6192 7486


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