Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-01-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2019-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89984 677 89
FY ice 553 54768 4274
MY ice 0 3578 15071
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89969 788 69
FY ice 901 54656 4064
MY ice 0 3795 14474
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89407 661 95
FY ice 516 55201 4138
MY ice 0 3860 14373
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88678 803 80
FY ice 360 55918 4078
MY ice 0 3972 14260
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88690 797 78
FY ice 348 55808 4088
MY ice 0 4088 14252

Date: 2019-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88239 733 126
FY ice 262 56437 3959
MY ice 0 3909 14241
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88228 743 127
FY ice 273 56285 4033
MY ice 0 4051 14166

Date: 2019-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87494 849 137
FY ice 154 56641 3888
MY ice 0 4021 13909
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87256 833 153
FY ice 392 56490 3928
MY ice 0 4188 13853

Date: 2019-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87869 949 119
FY ice 242 56869 3151
MY ice 0 4158 13641
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87603 941 137
FY ice 508 56644 3260
MY ice 0 4391 13514

Date: 2019-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87445 1066 104
FY ice 227 57386 3069
MY ice 0 4274 13815
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87202 1093 109
FY ice 470 57076 3247
MY ice 0 4557 13632


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