Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-11-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 102080 1347 2
FY ice 486 45011 5536
MY ice 0 969 19459
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101137 1630 0
FY ice 537 45684 5670
MY ice 0 1101 19461
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101009 1678 0
FY ice 317 46114 5190
MY ice 0 1082 19378
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100438 995 0
FY ice 557 46373 5026
MY ice 0 1247 18967
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100412 992 0
FY ice 583 46066 5146
MY ice 0 1557 18847

Date: 2018-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99817 867 10
FY ice 899 46105 5216
MY ice 0 1267 18815
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99810 833 10
FY ice 906 45895 5321
MY ice 0 1511 18710

Date: 2018-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99712 1137 6
FY ice 625 45967 5220
MY ice 0 1459 18505
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99166 919 6
FY ice 1171 45981 5337
MY ice 0 1663 18388

Date: 2018-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99025 1060 1
FY ice 947 46516 4916
MY ice 0 1618 17748
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98452 932 1
FY ice 1520 46420 4987
MY ice 0 1842 17677

Date: 2018-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97515 875 2
FY ice 1197 46999 5147
MY ice 0 1766 17990
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97020 766 2
FY ice 1686 47063 5149
MY ice 6 1811 17988


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