Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-10-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99714 449 12
FY ice 7 786 474
MY ice 1 115 6794
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99619 529 0
FY ice 35 816 547
MY ice 2 77 6958
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99303 557 2
FY ice 5 881 647
MY ice 0 69 7002
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99102 639 4
FY ice 10 942 649
MY ice 0 27 7033
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99104 636 3
FY ice 8 946 657
MY ice 0 26 7026

Date: 2018-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99378 364 13
FY ice 9 1376 301
MY ice 0 51 6608
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99380 365 12
FY ice 7 1385 303
MY ice 0 41 6607

Date: 2018-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99844 312 11
FY ice 19 711 743
MY ice 0 542 5989
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99809 235 9
FY ice 52 827 763
MY ice 2 503 5971

Date: 2018-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99852 286 23
FY ice 46 602 970
MY ice 10 48 6683
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99793 168 17
FY ice 106 714 1043
MY ice 9 54 6616

Date: 2018-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99540 412 28
FY ice 40 616 1141
MY ice 0 37 6637
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99412 310 28
FY ice 168 735 1095
MY ice 0 20 6683


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