Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice type - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-10-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21865 1419 53
FY ice 37 1554 1761
MY ice 0 11 4214
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21637 1842 37
FY ice 73 1817 1837
MY ice 0 11 3905
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22021 1073 22
FY ice 15 2598 1316
MY ice 0 9 3378
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21270 1964 27
FY ice 12 2243 1767
MY ice 0 1 3378
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21260 2000 31
FY ice 22 2202 1833
MY ice 0 6 3308

Date: 2018-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19870 2838 57
FY ice 2 2403 1731
MY ice 0 0 3310
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19870 2873 48
FY ice 2 2364 1785
MY ice 0 4 3265

Date: 2018-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19284 1001 16
FY ice 14 4642 1867
MY ice 0 271 3173
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19286 2783 71
FY ice 12 3129 1875
MY ice 0 2 3110

Date: 2018-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19517 821 26
FY ice 132 4256 2292
MY ice 4 112 3016
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19619 1804 199
FY ice 34 3384 2290
MY ice 0 1 2845

Date: 2018-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18786 1260 44
FY ice 40 4806 2374
MY ice 0 77 2920
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18776 2220 111
FY ice 50 3921 2406
MY ice 0 2 2821


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