Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-05-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 488 53 0
FY ice 306 12332 309
MY ice 26 9188 7872
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 509 57 0
FY ice 400 12154 384
MY ice 25 8633 7891
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 696 53 0
FY ice 294 12201 338
MY ice 60 8709 7629
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 832 0 0
FY ice 522 0 0
MY ice 45 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 833 0 0
FY ice 534 0 0
MY ice 32 0 0

Date: 2018-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1009 0 0
FY ice 662 0 0
MY ice 19 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1043 0 0
FY ice 634 0 0
MY ice 13 0 0

Date: 2018-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1746 0 0
FY ice 525 0 0
MY ice 79 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1368 0 0
FY ice 874 0 0
MY ice 108 0 0

Date: 2018-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2027 0 0
FY ice 629 0 0
MY ice 81 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1679 0 0
FY ice 950 0 0
MY ice 108 0 0

Date: 2018-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2116 0 0
FY ice 644 0 0
MY ice 120 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1767 0 0
FY ice 979 0 0
MY ice 134 0 0


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