Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-03-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85772 431 19
FY ice 68 41916 4433
MY ice 0 10410 15876
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85884 636 12
FY ice 48 42897 4026
MY ice 0 10316 16209
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85725 811 3
FY ice 50 43076 4053
MY ice 0 10817 15655
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85506 782 4
FY ice 79 42526 3821
MY ice 0 11204 15360
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85518 781 4
FY ice 67 42415 3716
MY ice 0 11316 15465

Date: 2018-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86410 496 27
FY ice 323 41999 3639
MY ice 7 11226 15393
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86402 489 27
FY ice 333 41874 3574
MY ice 5 11358 15458

Date: 2018-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87287 468 2
FY ice 321 42193 3597
MY ice 1 11202 15775
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86979 447 2
FY ice 630 42031 3521
MY ice 0 11385 15851

Date: 2018-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86919 757 0
FY ice 199 42854 2945
MY ice 4 11549 15044
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86621 619 0
FY ice 497 42643 2946
MY ice 4 11898 15043

Date: 2018-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86867 771 22
FY ice 177 43278 2820
MY ice 0 12152 14685
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86651 663 22
FY ice 393 42967 2806
MY ice 0 12571 14699


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