Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-01-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 97 0
FY ice 0 18199 350
MY ice 0 4217 12008
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 9 0
FY ice 7 18289 325
MY ice 0 4170 12344
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6 0 0
FY ice 93 17942 406
MY ice 0 4533 11631
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 22 18218 328
MY ice 0 4693 11348
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 22 18182 312
MY ice 0 4729 11364

Date: 2018-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 0 0
FY ice 30 18330 313
MY ice 0 4630 11375
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 0 0
FY ice 30 18294 301
MY ice 0 4666 11387

Date: 2018-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 0 0
FY ice 11 18384 255
MY ice 0 4448 11691
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 14 18338 245
MY ice 0 4494 11701

Date: 2018-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 15 0
FY ice 5 18311 261
MY ice 0 4366 11944
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 5 18165 243
MY ice 0 4527 11962

Date: 2018-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 18135 414
MY ice 0 4443 11894
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17907 399
MY ice 0 4671 11909


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