Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-11-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9812 456 0
FY ice 43 16393 364
MY ice 0 3277 10283
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9375 225 0
FY ice 272 16087 420
MY ice 0 3237 10572
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8681 340 0
FY ice 38 15907 442
MY ice 0 3195 10825
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7432 443 0
FY ice 62 15742 570
MY ice 0 3247 11052
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7435 388 0
FY ice 59 15742 576
MY ice 0 3302 11046

Date: 2017-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6200 292 0
FY ice 198 16210 353
MY ice 0 3377 10820
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6121 251 0
FY ice 277 16197 356
MY ice 0 3431 10817

Date: 2017-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5973 498 0
FY ice 92 16019 343
MY ice 0 3611 10810
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5715 419 0
FY ice 350 16070 342
MY ice 0 3639 10811

Date: 2017-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5759 585 0
FY ice 92 16513 378
MY ice 0 3661 10744
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5668 503 0
FY ice 183 16561 360
MY ice 0 3695 10762

Date: 2017-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4791 445 0
FY ice 80 16830 374
MY ice 0 3710 10836
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4678 525 0
FY ice 193 16786 336
MY ice 0 3674 10874


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