Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-11-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96835 1756 0
FY ice 79 3067 1502
MY ice 0 0 3764
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96651 1615 0
FY ice 210 3148 1913
MY ice 0 0 3798
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96504 1475 0
FY ice 108 3885 1415
MY ice 0 0 3697
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96157 1004 0
FY ice 98 4777 922
MY ice 0 0 3568
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96172 1020 0
FY ice 83 4760 877
MY ice 0 1 3613

Date: 2017-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95672 1060 0
FY ice 142 5110 1395
MY ice 0 0 3512
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95672 1073 0
FY ice 142 5097 1330
MY ice 0 0 3577

Date: 2017-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95774 1120 0
FY ice 35 4784 1898
MY ice 0 0 3532
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95605 877 0
FY ice 204 5027 1846
MY ice 0 0 3584

Date: 2017-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95865 1040 0
FY ice 50 4824 2041
MY ice 0 0 3422
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95647 877 0
FY ice 268 4987 2021
MY ice 0 0 3442

Date: 2017-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95519 1317 0
FY ice 50 4870 1889
MY ice 0 6 3257
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95239 1081 0
FY ice 330 5106 2084
MY ice 0 6 3062


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