Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-03-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 1 0
FY ice 12 16795 822
MY ice 0 4429 10357
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 16250 765
MY ice 0 4220 9481
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 13 15115 1579
MY ice 0 3144 11498
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14550 1965
MY ice 0 2948 11852
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14547 1826
MY ice 0 2951 11991

Date: 2017-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 14444 1762
MY ice 0 3050 11730
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 14483 1683
MY ice 0 3011 11809

Date: 2017-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14542 1648
MY ice 0 3012 11832
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14541 1692
MY ice 0 3013 11788

Date: 2017-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14855 1214
MY ice 0 3055 11468
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14880 1175
MY ice 0 3030 11507

Date: 2017-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 13860 1724
MY ice 0 2927 11158
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 13907 1615
MY ice 0 2880 11267


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