Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-03-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85722 150 180
FY ice 119 43310 5844
MY ice 0 5855 17252
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85744 178 348
FY ice 111 41788 6218
MY ice 0 5423 16526
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85438 159 405
FY ice 88 39346 7579
MY ice 0 4290 18388
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85870 145 342
FY ice 338 38334 7963
MY ice 0 4073 18900
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85869 145 321
FY ice 339 38294 7865
MY ice 0 4113 19019

Date: 2017-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85708 130 427
FY ice 407 38563 7535
MY ice 0 4403 18262
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85721 130 422
FY ice 394 38611 7464
MY ice 0 4355 18338

Date: 2017-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85391 184 331
FY ice 156 40069 6907
MY ice 0 4398 18275
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85081 222 403
FY ice 466 39991 6933
MY ice 0 4438 18177

Date: 2017-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85231 79 608
FY ice 162 39520 6946
MY ice 0 4287 18591
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84935 106 676
FY ice 458 39466 6849
MY ice 0 4314 18620

Date: 2017-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85036 156 550
FY ice 257 37568 7066
MY ice 0 4070 18028
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84720 229 568
FY ice 573 37490 7150
MY ice 0 4075 17926


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