Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice type - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3285 92 0
FY ice 417 18785 2380
MY ice 0 788 1760
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2717 177 3
FY ice 188 19242 2747
MY ice 0 617 2107
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2381 266 1
FY ice 56 19304 2999
MY ice 0 557 2392
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1886 208 0
FY ice 105 20330 2285
MY ice 0 534 2143
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1853 237 0
FY ice 138 20260 2424
MY ice 0 575 2004

Date: 2016-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1553 194 0
FY ice 40 20908 1815
MY ice 0 627 1911
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1551 218 0
FY ice 42 20912 1827
MY ice 0 599 1899

Date: 2016-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1548 97 0
FY ice 3 20942 1182
MY ice 0 1285 1121
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1491 53 0
FY ice 60 20934 1302
MY ice 0 1337 1001

Date: 2016-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2219 10 0
FY ice 921 19601 951
MY ice 0 1440 874
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1916 5 0
FY ice 1224 19503 1071
MY ice 0 1543 754

Date: 2016-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2314 10 0
FY ice 2078 18088 899
MY ice 0 1987 454
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2027 9 0
FY ice 2356 18063 963
MY ice 9 2013 390


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