Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7133 358 0
FY ice 155 23039 1348
MY ice 0 1863 7723
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5744 702 0
FY ice 46 22885 1605
MY ice 0 2073 7675
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5012 357 0
FY ice 83 23051 1683
MY ice 0 1993 8113
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3050 194 0
FY ice 180 22291 1728
MY ice 0 2037 8298
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3060 203 0
FY ice 170 22180 1670
MY ice 0 2139 8356

Date: 2016-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2670 161 0
FY ice 180 22528 1472
MY ice 0 2346 8010
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2675 142 0
FY ice 175 22469 1389
MY ice 0 2424 8093

Date: 2016-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1771 215 0
FY ice 41 22777 1369
MY ice 0 2269 8110
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1661 195 0
FY ice 151 22737 1318
MY ice 0 2329 8161

Date: 2016-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 946 339 0
FY ice 3 23388 1190
MY ice 0 2365 7696
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 903 197 0
FY ice 46 23419 1136
MY ice 0 2476 7750

Date: 2016-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 356 432 0
FY ice 95 23647 1208
MY ice 0 2552 7363
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 307 378 0
FY ice 144 23204 1044
MY ice 0 3049 7527


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