Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice type - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3415 413 0
FY ice 127 18061 3544
MY ice 0 668 2160
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3533 167 0
FY ice 413 17602 3465
MY ice 0 660 2156
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3741 111 0
FY ice 21 18387 2652
MY ice 0 614 1990
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3553 63 0
FY ice 387 18432 2667
MY ice 0 691 1962
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3562 57 0
FY ice 378 18476 2731
MY ice 0 653 1898

Date: 2016-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2832 206 13
FY ice 212 19459 2161
MY ice 0 806 1731
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2825 219 17
FY ice 219 19468 2265
MY ice 0 784 1623

Date: 2016-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2675 283 2
FY ice 55 19200 2916
MY ice 0 480 2411
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2499 294 3
FY ice 231 19182 2988
MY ice 0 487 2338

Date: 2016-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2190 182 0
FY ice 148 19654 2933
MY ice 0 630 2198
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2105 287 0
FY ice 233 19542 3156
MY ice 0 637 1975

Date: 2016-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1675 191 0
FY ice 77 20705 2163
MY ice 0 577 1837
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1676 327 0
FY ice 76 20528 2374
MY ice 0 618 1626


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