Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-11-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11418 170 0
FY ice 631 21609 828
MY ice 0 1619 7399
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11010 367 0
FY ice 494 21995 996
MY ice 0 1609 7490
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10864 174 0
FY ice 184 22310 1052
MY ice 0 1553 7631
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10464 147 0
FY ice 362 22168 1161
MY ice 0 1578 7723
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10456 170 0
FY ice 370 21949 1108
MY ice 0 1774 7776

Date: 2016-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10033 297 0
FY ice 237 22228 1307
MY ice 0 1471 8037
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10049 309 0
FY ice 221 22051 1237
MY ice 0 1636 8107

Date: 2016-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10032 317 0
FY ice 130 22032 1693
MY ice 0 1430 8303
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9877 301 0
FY ice 285 21904 1656
MY ice 0 1574 8340

Date: 2016-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9710 375 0
FY ice 158 22075 2055
MY ice 0 1397 8358
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9585 401 0
FY ice 283 21922 1985
MY ice 0 1524 8428

Date: 2016-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9161 346 0
FY ice 75 22407 2178
MY ice 0 1292 8357
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9109 413 0
FY ice 127 22211 2167
MY ice 0 1421 8368


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