Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-11-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 117435 369 0
FY ice 1776 39215 4444
MY ice 0 2555 12704
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116438 733 2
FY ice 1395 38676 5689
MY ice 0 2412 13280
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115249 1062 0
FY ice 247 40414 6422
MY ice 0 2271 13563
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 113332 1279 0
FY ice 483 41251 6458
MY ice 0 2314 13634
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 113305 1096 0
FY ice 510 41182 6567
MY ice 0 2566 13525

Date: 2016-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 111677 1441 0
FY ice 476 42338 6943
MY ice 0 2160 13914
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 111763 1405 0
FY ice 390 42120 7044
MY ice 0 2414 13813

Date: 2016-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110507 1419 0
FY ice 172 42812 7365
MY ice 0 2228 14106
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110240 1450 0
FY ice 439 42553 7437
MY ice 0 2456 14034

Date: 2016-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 109365 1311 0
FY ice 277 43323 8398
MY ice 0 2073 14475
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 109166 1534 0
FY ice 476 42885 8477
MY ice 0 2288 14396

Date: 2016-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107056 1616 0
FY ice 255 44231 8858
MY ice 0 2140 14686
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106979 2068 0
FY ice 332 43667 9013
MY ice 0 2252 14531


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