Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-11-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115520 549 0
FY ice 2338 39466 5091
MY ice 5 1802 12969
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 114989 627 0
FY ice 2207 41425 3625
MY ice 4 2311 11895
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115978 1136 0
FY ice 789 41813 2319
MY ice 1 2814 10770
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116859 507 0
FY ice 1570 40685 2949
MY ice 0 2966 11138
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116731 516 0
FY ice 1698 40609 3036
MY ice 0 3033 11051

Date: 2016-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 117099 549 0
FY ice 1741 38243 5494
MY ice 0 2123 13598
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116765 535 0
FY ice 2075 38123 5773
MY ice 0 2257 13319

Date: 2016-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116123 818 0
FY ice 163 39696 6115
MY ice 0 2764 13142
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 114867 848 0
FY ice 1419 39560 6395
MY ice 0 2870 12862

Date: 2016-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 114184 1359 0
FY ice 525 40463 6412
MY ice 0 2336 13511
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 113219 937 0
FY ice 1490 40680 6669
MY ice 0 2541 13254

Date: 2016-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 112526 1215 0
FY ice 473 41875 6756
MY ice 0 2083 13966
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 111983 784 0
FY ice 1016 42013 7092
MY ice 0 2376 13630


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