Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-11-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 127368 1190 0
FY ice 1843 25935 6986
MY ice 0 1178 13996
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 125724 577 0
FY ice 3704 25144 8617
MY ice 0 951 14272
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 128589 1500 0
FY ice 447 24703 8688
MY ice 0 1040 14216
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 124965 1564 0
FY ice 1116 27175 8272
MY ice 0 1183 13973
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 124655 1555 0
FY ice 1426 27094 8382
MY ice 0 1273 13863

Date: 2016-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 121491 1448 0
FY ice 1842 30026 7824
MY ice 0 1183 14131
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 121067 1341 0
FY ice 2266 29978 7942
MY ice 0 1338 14013

Date: 2016-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 120849 698 0
FY ice 675 34323 5474
MY ice 0 1719 12667
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 118372 889 0
FY ice 3152 34014 5588
MY ice 0 1837 12553

Date: 2016-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 117033 882 0
FY ice 2968 36560 5059
MY ice 8 1825 12333
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116968 982 0
FY ice 3041 36353 4917
MY ice 0 1932 12475

Date: 2016-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115520 549 0
FY ice 2338 39466 5091
MY ice 5 1802 12969
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115618 690 0
FY ice 2245 39193 5340
MY ice 0 1934 12720


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