Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-05-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 317 127 0
FY ice 439 13099 234
MY ice 4 11137 7010
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 378 157 0
FY ice 652 12883 127
MY ice 0 11332 6953
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 862 207 0
FY ice 345 12551 58
MY ice 1 11156 6713
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1254 112 0
FY ice 419 11911 44
MY ice 9 11809 7099
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1257 120 0
FY ice 417 12015 47
MY ice 8 11697 7096

Date: 2016-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1252 154 0
FY ice 370 9002 500
MY ice 37 10571 6502
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1276 167 0
FY ice 347 9148 542
MY ice 36 10412 6460

Date: 2016-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1553 0 0
FY ice 182 0 0
MY ice 6 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1244 0 0
FY ice 465 0 0
MY ice 32 0 0

Date: 2016-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1825 0 0
FY ice 395 0 0
MY ice 83 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1477 0 0
FY ice 713 0 0
MY ice 113 0 0

Date: 2016-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2254 0 0
FY ice 566 0 0
MY ice 72 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1853 0 0
FY ice 942 0 0
MY ice 97 0 0


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