Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-04-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 28 0
FY ice 5 12940 1059
MY ice 0 7959 10385
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 11 0
FY ice 102 12844 1095
MY ice 0 8129 9817
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 62 20 0
FY ice 345 12727 1043
MY ice 0 8552 9669
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87 29 0
FY ice 421 12870 906
MY ice 0 8703 9302
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 105 34 0
FY ice 403 12876 952
MY ice 0 8692 9256

Date: 2016-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84 62 0
FY ice 567 13304 559
MY ice 1 10208 8726
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126 86 0
FY ice 525 13288 545
MY ice 1 10200 8740

Date: 2016-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 352 122 0
FY ice 395 13342 525
MY ice 0 10394 7755
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 149 127 0
FY ice 598 13290 508
MY ice 0 10441 7772

Date: 2016-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 420 132 0
FY ice 517 12918 246
MY ice 0 10467 7623
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 159 168 0
FY ice 778 12834 317
MY ice 0 10515 7552

Date: 2016-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 317 127 0
FY ice 439 13099 234
MY ice 4 11137 7010
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83 172 0
FY ice 673 13092 254
MY ice 4 11099 6990


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