Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-03-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86241 672 24
FY ice 542 8214 860
MY ice 0 266 3334
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86153 629 36
FY ice 604 7971 679
MY ice 0 99 4111
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85978 828 38
FY ice 373 7703 1489
MY ice 0 41 4594
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84701 1050 73
FY ice 670 8056 1511
MY ice 0 33 4863
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84704 1054 63
FY ice 667 8055 1521
MY ice 0 30 4863

Date: 2016-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84482 888 133
FY ice 750 8253 1545
MY ice 0 32 4975
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84503 881 132
FY ice 729 8259 1551
MY ice 0 33 4970

Date: 2016-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84955 675 55
FY ice 293 8513 1577
MY ice 0 35 5059
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84545 673 144
FY ice 703 8510 1507
MY ice 0 40 5040

Date: 2016-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84832 761 13
FY ice 315 9135 1414
MY ice 0 37 5108
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84587 818 56
FY ice 560 9076 1353
MY ice 0 39 5126

Date: 2016-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85203 590 47
FY ice 302 8885 1384
MY ice 0 41 5141
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84913 706 93
FY ice 591 8763 1296
MY ice 1 47 5183


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