Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-02-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86939 806 14
FY ice 1175 46039 1705
MY ice 0 9438 16320
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86952 753 147
FY ice 1530 44132 1799
MY ice 0 9452 17563
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87836 981 42
FY ice 602 42900 2494
MY ice 0 9872 18394
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86576 867 14
FY ice 708 43751 2187
MY ice 0 10602 17129
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86379 745 19
FY ice 905 43610 2177
MY ice 0 10865 17134

Date: 2016-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86595 665 50
FY ice 725 43949 2145
MY ice 0 10347 18245
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86556 602 51
FY ice 764 43783 2158
MY ice 0 10576 18231

Date: 2016-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86314 515 115
FY ice 319 43230 3204
MY ice 0 10007 18959
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85867 559 161
FY ice 766 42946 3195
MY ice 0 10247 18922

Date: 2016-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86483 400 50
FY ice 619 42909 2935
MY ice 0 10084 19095
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86166 422 95
FY ice 936 42773 2867
MY ice 0 10198 19118

Date: 2016-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86475 543 37
FY ice 1446 42205 2818
MY ice 0 9767 18907
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86130 542 87
FY ice 1791 41874 2772
MY ice 0 10099 18903


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