Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-01-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88334 480 3
FY ice 518 6904 1277
MY ice 0 143 6110
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87366 507 14
FY ice 529 7400 1218
MY ice 0 283 5746
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87687 726 27
FY ice 218 7844 1137
MY ice 0 194 5830
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86951 871 13
FY ice 291 7704 1283
MY ice 0 170 5954
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86951 871 13
FY ice 291 7679 1302
MY ice 0 195 5935

Date: 2016-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86872 766 24
FY ice 346 7731 1401
MY ice 0 117 6025
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86850 764 24
FY ice 368 7721 1427
MY ice 0 129 5999

Date: 2016-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87520 747 35
FY ice 258 7483 1407
MY ice 0 110 5850
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87074 692 37
FY ice 704 7545 1368
MY ice 0 103 5887

Date: 2016-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87159 740 126
FY ice 167 7774 1521
MY ice 0 76 5791
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86766 619 81
FY ice 560 7886 1474
MY ice 0 85 5883

Date: 2016-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87303 585 52
FY ice 186 8007 1631
MY ice 0 82 5512
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86574 468 34
FY ice 915 8108 1440
MY ice 0 98 5721


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