Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-01-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89357 699 3
FY ice 726 49886 1923
MY ice 0 5641 19703
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87945 519 14
FY ice 723 49808 2360
MY ice 0 5166 20276
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88158 739 27
FY ice 272 49298 2830
MY ice 0 5180 20795
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87327 884 13
FY ice 415 49066 2763
MY ice 0 5585 20934
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87333 885 13
FY ice 409 48724 2767
MY ice 0 5926 20930

Date: 2016-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87290 770 24
FY ice 574 48084 3205
MY ice 0 5449 21028
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87285 768 24
FY ice 579 47745 3154
MY ice 0 5790 21079

Date: 2016-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88176 770 35
FY ice 291 47247 3703
MY ice 0 5539 20974
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87537 692 37
FY ice 930 46999 3551
MY ice 0 5865 21124

Date: 2016-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87627 742 126
FY ice 345 47586 3549
MY ice 0 5852 20611
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87185 620 81
FY ice 787 47364 3356
MY ice 0 6196 20849

Date: 2016-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87685 593 55
FY ice 300 46914 4679
MY ice 0 5429 21192
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86971 475 34
FY ice 1014 46681 4432
MY ice 0 5780 21460


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