Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-12-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90882 507 0
FY ice 2121 49833 2756
MY ice 0 3229 21311
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89971 513 0
FY ice 1738 51063 1710
MY ice 0 3432 20408
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90472 652 0
FY ice 636 51763 1373
MY ice 0 4902 18069
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90639 561 0
FY ice 1043 50465 906
MY ice 0 5087 18237
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90608 538 0
FY ice 1074 50160 908
MY ice 0 5415 18235

Date: 2016-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90893 544 0
FY ice 1269 48578 2099
MY ice 0 4586 20175
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90798 506 0
FY ice 1364 48292 2036
MY ice 0 4910 20238

Date: 2016-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92140 632 0
FY ice 222 48225 2044
MY ice 0 4781 19570
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90751 483 0
FY ice 1611 48016 1933
MY ice 0 5139 19681

Date: 2016-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90632 1121 3
FY ice 371 48268 2330
MY ice 0 4995 20367
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89887 703 3
FY ice 1116 48339 2164
MY ice 0 5342 20533

Date: 2016-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89357 699 3
FY ice 726 49912 1928
MY ice 0 5615 19698
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89227 709 4
FY ice 856 49524 1825
MY ice 0 5993 19800


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