Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-11-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11979 169 0
FY ice 166 16321 1188
MY ice 0 875 12859
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11087 71 0
FY ice 225 17297 883
MY ice 0 1052 12401
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10281 127 0
FY ice 329 17885 884
MY ice 0 966 12401
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9778 150 0
FY ice 651 17936 732
MY ice 0 942 12645
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9799 135 0
FY ice 630 17995 758
MY ice 0 898 12619

Date: 2015-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9430 199 0
FY ice 590 18455 794
MY ice 0 969 12339
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9497 195 0
FY ice 523 18517 804
MY ice 0 911 12329

Date: 2015-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9471 187 0
FY ice 55 19002 600
MY ice 0 1186 12330
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9179 205 0
FY ice 347 19018 592
MY ice 0 1152 12338

Date: 2015-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9525 224 0
FY ice 155 19180 512
MY ice 0 1128 12180
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9290 448 0
FY ice 390 18954 520
MY ice 0 1130 12172

Date: 2015-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9005 153 0
FY ice 100 19426 596
MY ice 0 952 12419
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8877 504 0
FY ice 228 19068 673
MY ice 0 959 12342


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