Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-10-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15519 514 0
FY ice 914 10920 1175
MY ice 0 535 13811
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14570 762 0
FY ice 999 11903 974
MY ice 0 780 13454
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14722 587 0
FY ice 363 12745 757
MY ice 0 733 13404
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13763 465 0
FY ice 377 13759 765
MY ice 0 894 12874
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13264 558 0
FY ice 876 13677 774
MY ice 0 883 12865

Date: 2015-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13036 713 0
FY ice 299 14212 1120
MY ice 0 767 13182
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12836 713 0
FY ice 499 14244 1127
MY ice 0 735 13175

Date: 2015-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12828 305 0
FY ice 56 15123 1090
MY ice 0 639 13222
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12362 596 0
FY ice 522 14824 1097
MY ice 0 647 13215

Date: 2015-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12253 311 0
FY ice 137 15658 1096
MY ice 0 791 12825
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12030 496 0
FY ice 360 15431 1104
MY ice 0 833 12817

Date: 2015-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11979 169 0
FY ice 166 16321 1188
MY ice 0 875 12859
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11849 541 0
FY ice 296 15869 1219
MY ice 0 955 12828


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