Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-10-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98895 779 0
FY ice 116 1155 504
MY ice 28 491 5977
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98540 826 0
FY ice 156 1273 592
MY ice 1 223 5979
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98324 745 0
FY ice 25 1825 699
MY ice 0 160 6095
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98230 478 0
FY ice 177 2074 642
MY ice 0 116 6055
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98219 459 0
FY ice 188 2090 601
MY ice 0 119 6096

Date: 2015-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98104 372 0
FY ice 390 2211 507
MY ice 0 155 6052
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98064 365 0
FY ice 430 2226 490
MY ice 0 147 6069

Date: 2015-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98215 368 0
FY ice 103 2169 642
MY ice 0 75 6220
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97864 380 0
FY ice 454 2119 559
MY ice 0 113 6303

Date: 2015-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97692 524 0
FY ice 160 2334 614
MY ice 0 79 6278
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97520 514 0
FY ice 332 2338 526
MY ice 0 85 6366

Date: 2015-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97385 443 0
FY ice 325 2305 627
MY ice 0 202 6201
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97437 608 0
FY ice 273 2175 567
MY ice 0 167 6261


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