Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-05-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7 29 0
FY ice 25 12204 1723
MY ice 11 4833 11588
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 13 0
FY ice 2 12253 1593
MY ice 24 5349 11531
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2 25 0
FY ice 237 12131 1612
MY ice 19 5613 10712
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 4 0
FY ice 9 11676 1791
MY ice 0 4724 11481
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 7 0
FY ice 9 11656 2025
MY ice 0 4741 11247

Date: 2015-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6 21 0
FY ice 182 11584 1501
MY ice 47 5304 10603
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11 29 0
FY ice 159 11599 1749
MY ice 65 5281 10355

Date: 2015-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 146 50 0
FY ice 336 12279 1033
MY ice 16 5514 9451
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14 31 0
FY ice 407 12210 1195
MY ice 77 5602 9289

Date: 2015-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 147 61 0
FY ice 421 11253 1143
MY ice 36 4770 10155
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 37 25 0
FY ice 477 11187 1215
MY ice 90 4872 10083

Date: 2015-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 279 4 0
FY ice 664 10342 2425
MY ice 70 4171 11540
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 114 12 0
FY ice 809 10156 2441
MY ice 90 4349 11524


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