Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-05-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85315 757 19
FY ice 266 44974 2880
MY ice 11 9283 13570
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85558 625 20
FY ice 119 45398 2694
MY ice 24 9847 13400
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85901 723 29
FY ice 305 44839 2536
MY ice 19 9717 12793
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87023 636 19
FY ice 306 43932 2685
MY ice 0 8826 13702
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87023 630 13
FY ice 306 44031 2945
MY ice 0 8733 13448

Date: 2015-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86800 829 25
FY ice 445 43044 2375
MY ice 47 9168 12830
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86804 811 26
FY ice 422 43178 2641
MY ice 66 9052 12563

Date: 2015-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87653 665 44
FY ice 416 43258 1991
MY ice 18 9484 11632
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87303 708 66
FY ice 707 43167 2152
MY ice 77 9532 11449

Date: 2015-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87419 707 17
FY ice 519 42521 2129
MY ice 36 9060 12205
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87094 692 27
FY ice 790 42532 2217
MY ice 90 9064 12107

Date: 2015-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87475 661 25
FY ice 755 42632 3109
MY ice 70 9021 13447
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87153 796 27
FY ice 1057 42185 3107
MY ice 90 9333 13447


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