Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-03-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83617 429 5
FY ice 424 48381 3480
MY ice 0 7604 16823
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82718 600 20
FY ice 547 48906 3168
MY ice 0 7727 16410
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82876 539 17
FY ice 223 48400 3823
MY ice 0 7423 16771
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82129 600 7
FY ice 246 48688 3295
MY ice 0 7237 16524
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82143 629 9
FY ice 232 49011 3418
MY ice 0 6885 16399

Date: 2015-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82236 598 20
FY ice 419 47574 3850
MY ice 0 7160 16741
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82242 619 24
FY ice 413 47877 3955
MY ice 0 6836 16632

Date: 2015-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82825 542 17
FY ice 303 47222 3654
MY ice 0 7148 16920
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82422 557 26
FY ice 706 47554 3739
MY ice 0 6801 16826

Date: 2015-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82799 629 5
FY ice 591 46229 3957
MY ice 0 6691 17300
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82471 651 8
FY ice 918 46456 4059
MY ice 1 6442 17195

Date: 2015-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82894 493 19
FY ice 561 45447 4366
MY ice 0 7273 16914
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82583 592 25
FY ice 865 45518 4416
MY ice 7 7103 16858


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