Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-03-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83524 380 3
FY ice 623 8813 904
MY ice 0 1805 3829
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83663 289 8
FY ice 497 9300 619
MY ice 0 2694 2778
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83457 569 31
FY ice 128 9151 943
MY ice 0 1975 3528
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83628 355 5
FY ice 264 9024 1283
MY ice 0 1845 3797
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83617 366 4
FY ice 275 9140 1278
MY ice 0 1718 3803

Date: 2015-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83313 435 21
FY ice 269 9604 1240
MY ice 0 1771 3856
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83301 449 22
FY ice 281 9730 1247
MY ice 0 1631 3848

Date: 2015-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82474 629 13
FY ice 203 9876 1076
MY ice 0 1652 3907
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82223 720 22
FY ice 454 9892 1073
MY ice 0 1545 3901

Date: 2015-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82299 707 37
FY ice 248 9988 1041
MY ice 0 1614 3964
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82194 771 49
FY ice 353 10033 1060
MY ice 0 1505 3933

Date: 2015-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82098 524 15
FY ice 246 10247 815
MY ice 0 1888 3403
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82100 644 18
FY ice 244 10128 854
MY ice 0 1887 3361


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