Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-03-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83726 258 10
FY ice 830 46707 3520
MY ice 0 7025 16748
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83710 219 9
FY ice 1217 46775 3492
MY ice 0 7600 15585
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84638 246 7
FY ice 729 47044 3635
MY ice 9 7734 15875
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83342 274 8
FY ice 764 48219 3209
MY ice 4 7352 16314
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83341 279 9
FY ice 765 48425 3187
MY ice 4 7141 16335

Date: 2015-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83816 304 10
FY ice 851 48762 3114
MY ice 0 7174 16713
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83752 324 8
FY ice 915 48955 3126
MY ice 0 6961 16703

Date: 2015-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83786 500 16
FY ice 243 48540 2968
MY ice 0 7976 16276
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83293 456 20
FY ice 736 48848 2964
MY ice 0 7712 16276

Date: 2015-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83685 617 15
FY ice 375 48218 3272
MY ice 0 7774 16383
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83171 579 11
FY ice 889 48606 3278
MY ice 0 7424 16381

Date: 2015-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83617 429 5
FY ice 424 48381 3480
MY ice 0 7604 16823
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82999 549 10
FY ice 1042 48380 3551
MY ice 0 7485 16747


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