Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-12-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5876 36 0
FY ice 447 11861 2369
MY ice 0 1004 14668
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4249 34 0
FY ice 599 11735 2419
MY ice 0 1257 14256
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3305 43 0
FY ice 90 11879 1982
MY ice 0 1407 14142
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2469 18 0
FY ice 351 11931 1837
MY ice 0 1234 15011
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2489 18 0
FY ice 331 11939 1886
MY ice 0 1226 14962

Date: 2014-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1765 34 0
FY ice 771 11962 2111
MY ice 0 1338 15021
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1764 33 0
FY ice 772 11979 2149
MY ice 0 1322 14983

Date: 2014-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1730 40 4
FY ice 243 12115 2056
MY ice 0 1217 15001
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1296 8 0
FY ice 677 12163 2070
MY ice 0 1201 14991

Date: 2014-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 867 89 8
FY ice 246 11864 2226
MY ice 0 1390 15087
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 693 107 11
FY ice 420 11837 2260
MY ice 0 1399 15050

Date: 2014-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 156 121 26
FY ice 515 12427 2358
MY ice 0 1459 14860
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98 204 23
FY ice 573 12314 2344
MY ice 0 1489 14877


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