Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-10-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17688 111 0
FY ice 197 5484 599
MY ice 0 1293 15346
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17081 169 0
FY ice 346 5918 709
MY ice 0 1261 15459
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16336 170 0
FY ice 644 6038 951
MY ice 0 1228 16188
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16380 186 0
FY ice 600 6022 940
MY ice 0 1228 16199

Date: 2014-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14409 238 0
FY ice 1343 6467 1092
MY ice 0 954 16114
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14686 345 0
FY ice 1066 6356 1085
MY ice 0 958 16121

Date: 2014-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14687 452 0
FY ice 84 7442 889
MY ice 0 1105 15879
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13334 442 0
FY ice 1437 7436 901
MY ice 0 1121 15867

Date: 2014-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13884 569 0
FY ice 201 7966 887
MY ice 0 1163 15821
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12746 677 0
FY ice 1339 7878 951
MY ice 0 1143 15757

Date: 2014-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12314 722 0
FY ice 723 9013 1047
MY ice 0 1197 15785
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12081 1001 0
FY ice 956 8849 1112
MY ice 0 1082 15720


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