Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-10-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95841 493 0
FY ice 50 1653 7
MY ice 16 531 7635
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95560 489 0
FY ice 46 1747 20
MY ice 1 450 8035
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95129 615 0
FY ice 36 2093 78
MY ice 19 275 8048
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95084 536 0
FY ice 46 2091 52
MY ice 0 567 7674
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95091 564 0
FY ice 39 2090 52
MY ice 0 540 7674

Date: 2014-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95169 435 0
FY ice 29 2267 39
MY ice 8 743 7639
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95167 457 0
FY ice 35 2245 47
MY ice 4 743 7631

Date: 2014-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95304 347 0
FY ice 35 2330 106
MY ice 11 605 7575
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95266 335 0
FY ice 62 2280 50
MY ice 22 667 7631

Date: 2014-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0

Date: 2014-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95699 325 0
FY ice 130 2331 13
MY ice 19 1817 5590
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95249 223 0
FY ice 485 2252 6
MY ice 114 1998 5597


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