Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice type - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-10-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15098 1211 0
FY ice 33 7379 22
MY ice 0 810 3195
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14001 1459 0
FY ice 63 8094 7
MY ice 0 882 3161
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13647 559 0
FY ice 127 9318 18
MY ice 0 1433 2475
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12139 676 0
FY ice 385 10395 0
MY ice 0 1794 1931
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12098 743 0
FY ice 426 10482 1
MY ice 0 1640 1930

Date: 2014-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9694 1228 0
FY ice 276 11871 27
MY ice 0 1579 2031
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9570 1211 0
FY ice 400 12041 31
MY ice 0 1426 2027

Date: 2014-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8143 802 0
FY ice 44 14095 28
MY ice 0 1543 1836
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7646 1665 0
FY ice 541 13289 20
MY ice 0 1486 1844

Date: 2014-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0

Date: 2014-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4271 788 0
FY ice 882 17000 298
MY ice 1 2038 1295
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4116 1896 0
FY ice 1028 15905 219
MY ice 10 2025 1374


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