Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-09-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137936 1594 0
FY ice 185 5202 16
MY ice 26 4182 25137
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136857 1721 0
FY ice 344 5850 11
MY ice 15 3955 25403
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136866 1871 0
FY ice 124 6508 3
MY ice 57 3939 23937
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135391 2150 0
FY ice 22 7648 4
MY ice 24 4357 24116
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135344 2175 0
FY ice 69 7680 18
MY ice 24 4300 24102

Date: 2014-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135563 1466 0
FY ice 170 8216 12
MY ice 37 3257 25278
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135455 1535 0
FY ice 268 8200 36
MY ice 47 3204 25254

Date: 2014-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135754 1699 0
FY ice 56 8820 7
MY ice 7 3965 22686
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135277 1592 0
FY ice 503 8701 15
MY ice 37 4191 22678

Date: 2014-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136056 1775 0
FY ice 57 9700 21
MY ice 3 4259 23304
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135302 1423 0
FY ice 790 9760 23
MY ice 24 4551 23302

Date: 2014-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 134194 2528 0
FY ice 54 10392 12
MY ice 0 4192 23534
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 133480 2084 0
FY ice 759 10404 30
MY ice 9 4624 23516


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