Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-01-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85619 394 90
FY ice 553 39465 5065
MY ice 0 4178 23087
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85427 349 48
FY ice 740 39520 4989
MY ice 1 4465 22832
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85358 460 59
FY ice 509 38720 4638
MY ice 0 4828 22068
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85831 404 64
FY ice 683 38650 4464
MY ice 0 4956 22626
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85866 509 112
FY ice 648 38568 4732
MY ice 0 4933 22310

Date: 2014-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85537 447 65
FY ice 885 38638 3750
MY ice 0 5373 21543
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85582 551 89
FY ice 840 38299 4053
MY ice 0 5608 21216

Date: 2014-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86490 505 16
FY ice 229 39137 3809
MY ice 0 5723 20678
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85881 572 114
FY ice 838 38751 3852
MY ice 0 6042 20537

Date: 2014-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86544 408 47
FY ice 590 38466 4328
MY ice 0 6117 20626
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86105 458 194
FY ice 1029 38430 4276
MY ice 0 6103 20531

Date: 2014-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85470 525 47
FY ice 623 37373 4295
MY ice 0 6266 20924
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84875 578 64
FY ice 1218 37524 4065
MY ice 0 6062 21137


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