Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-05-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65075 14938 121 137 5 0 0 0
OW 4 2335 373 468 83 0 0 0
VODI 0 729 306 1356 508 40 0 0
ODI 0 277 119 894 974 263 30 4
CDI 0 229 134 915 2550 3934 1045 39
VCDI 0 12 20 544 2130 6546 27334 60272
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65321 14576 106 56 10 0 0 0
OW 10 2420 367 481 69 6 0 0
VODI 0 998 368 1216 488 46 5 0
ODI 0 320 125 1049 947 275 45 8
CDI 0 208 133 1062 3059 4611 1407 38
VCDI 0 14 11 177 1414 6708 27534 59055
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65932 14963 106 88 1 0 0 0
OW 4 2954 589 527 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 307 347 1858 343 22 16 6
ODI 0 46 81 1072 1765 300 88 11
CDI 0 18 9 301 2946 6242 1477 13
VCDI 0 0 1 104 867 5823 31259 54238
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67281 13801 95 152 2 0 0 0
OW 141 2778 437 653 69 4 2 0
VODI 0 341 365 1641 601 43 22 4
ODI 0 40 48 938 1631 356 85 4
CDI 0 53 27 367 3405 5984 1813 30
VCDI 0 1 5 132 1086 6437 31623 52246
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67279 13973 116 181 6 0 0 0
OW 143 2597 405 634 75 7 2 0
VODI 0 356 369 1620 586 53 24 5
ODI 0 36 55 920 1632 350 81 4
CDI 0 51 29 387 3419 5984 1978 32
VCDI 0 1 3 141 1076 6430 31460 52243

Date: 2024-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67843 13743 101 138 2 0 0 0
OW 48 2841 505 593 74 0 0 0
VODI 0 473 452 1603 545 55 4 0
ODI 0 60 73 979 1429 173 31 0
CDI 0 97 46 543 4038 5286 1639 3
VCDI 0 237 48 500 2006 6953 31050 50532
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67832 13921 129 183 6 0 0 0
OW 59 2671 480 546 99 5 0 0
VODI 0 463 449 1576 558 50 4 0
ODI 0 63 70 974 1426 204 39 0
CDI 0 92 48 565 4008 5257 1728 9
VCDI 0 241 49 512 1997 6951 30953 50526

Date: 2024-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68915 14192 84 94 8 0 0 0
OW 0 2225 829 566 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 157 2558 549 46 0 0
ODI 0 48 25 649 2624 233 20 0
CDI 0 39 34 285 2636 6854 577 7
VCDI 0 0 0 103 1156 5932 34857 48308
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68842 12992 88 123 25 0 0 0
OW 73 2756 447 584 115 7 0 0
VODI 0 565 387 1518 581 100 8 0
ODI 0 110 102 907 1310 366 56 1
CDI 0 126 63 789 3215 5386 2626 18
VCDI 0 43 42 334 1772 7206 32764 48296

Date: 2024-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68981 14102 121 146 11 0 0 0
OW 2 2281 568 738 131 9 0 0
VODI 0 171 317 2027 837 72 3 0
ODI 0 46 22 679 2145 439 34 0
CDI 0 52 37 415 3333 5386 1538 9
VCDI 0 0 0 192 1595 6814 34806 46684
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68959 13008 111 105 31 0 0 0
OW 24 2596 306 528 116 37 1 0
VODI 0 675 395 1367 671 70 22 4
ODI 0 163 119 952 1406 360 69 10
CDI 0 177 90 784 3731 5150 3383 100
VCDI 0 33 44 461 2097 7103 32906 46579

Date: 2024-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68461 14781 156 179 2 0 0 0
OW 9 2242 480 811 118 0 0 0
VODI 0 247 310 2022 809 56 7 0
ODI 0 85 41 901 1989 382 46 2
CDI 0 55 51 570 3298 5016 1684 73
VCDI 0 6 12 372 2012 8016 33778 45664
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68452 13679 145 178 29 0 0 0
OW 18 2336 286 579 123 28 0 0
VODI 0 933 285 1345 623 86 18 0
ODI 0 226 201 1139 1387 371 77 1
CDI 0 203 86 1013 3754 5364 2713 151
VCDI 0 39 47 601 2312 7621 32707 45587


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